A distilled model hits 92% on a public benchmark but 31% on an internal hold-out: diagnose.
Same topic, related formats. Practice these next.
Same topic, related formats. Practice these next.
A team distills a student model by SFT on synthetic answers generated by a strong frontier teacher. The student scores 92% on a widely-cited public benchmark for the task and only 31% on an internal hold-out drawn from the same real-world task distribution. What is the most likely diagnosis, what mechanism produces this exact gap, and which eval do you trust to guide further work?
Benchmark contamination via the teacher. The public benchmark was in the teacher's training corpus, so the teacher's synthetic answers leak benchmark-specific patterns the student inherits. Trust the internal hold-out.
Picture hiring a tutor to write practice answers for your student, then grading the student on two tests. One test is a famous textbook the tutor has already read and memorized. The other test is a custom set of questions your school wrote internally. The tutor's practice answers are quietly shaped by their memory of the famous textbook, so when the student takes that test, the answers line up surprisingly well. On the custom test the tutor never saw, the practice answers do not carry the same hidden help, and the student scores closer to their real ability. The honest grade is the custom test. The famous-textbook grade is inflated by the tutor's memory leaking through.
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5 min: state the diagnosis, trace the data lineage from teacher to student, explain why the exact 92 versus 31 split is the contamination signature, then prescribe the hold-out as the steering eval.
| Eval type | What it measures (on a distilled model) | Trust level |
|---|---|---|
| Widely-cited public benchmark | Leaked patterns + genuine skill (entangled) | Low; use only as upper bound |
| Internal hold-out (teacher cannot have seen) | Genuine distilled skill on the task distribution | High; primary steering metric |
| Held-out slice of public benchmark | Slightly less leakage, still suspect | Medium; useful for trend, not absolute |
| Adversarial probes (canary strings, etc.) | Quantifies the leak directly | Use as diagnostic, not as headline metric |
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Treating the 92% on the public benchmark as evidence the distillation worked. The teacher likely had the benchmark in its training corpus, and the student inherited the leaked patterns through the synthetic answers.
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